Hello friends,Some of the more widely followed averages (e.g. the SP500 or the Dow) have broken out of their July-September consolidation zone and are continuing to trend upwards. There has been a clear rotation in the markets, and while big tech stocks and industrials &
Last week was home to two major market events, both slated within the US - general elections and the latest FOMC meeting. As quickly turned out, Trump would win this historical race, while Fed chairman Powell announced a 25bp cut in the Fed Funds rate,
This April, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated that it is expecting a fiscal deficit of 7.1% for the US next year - monstrous numbers, outranking other first world economies by a factor of 3. As the IMF's chief economist Gourinchas said, "Something will have
When markets rally despite a broad overhang of negative news and outlook, they are said to be 'climbing a wall of worry'. Indeed this happens rather frequently, more recently and prominently post the Feb-April 2020 COVID market crash and subsequent 81% rally in NASDAQ, concurrent
The last few weeks have witnessed a hardly-precedented move in micro-, small- and mid-cap indices, but specifically small- and microcaps. A look at the SP400 (MDY, MidCap ETF), the Russell-2000 (RUT, SmallCaps) or the IWC (Russel MicroCap ETF) will confirm the same, with microcaps threatening
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Last week was home to two major market events, both slated within the US - general elections and the latest FOMC meeting. As quickly turned out, Trump would win this historical race, while Fed chairman Powell announced a 25bp cut in the Fed Funds rate,
This April, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated that it is expecting a fiscal deficit of 7.1% for the US next year - monstrous numbers, outranking other first world economies by a factor of 3. As the IMF's chief economist Gourinchas said, "Something will have
When markets rally despite a broad overhang of negative news and outlook, they are said to be 'climbing a wall of worry'. Indeed this happens rather frequently, more recently and prominently post the Feb-April 2020 COVID market crash and subsequent 81% rally in NASDAQ, concurrent
The last few weeks have witnessed a hardly-precedented move in micro-, small- and mid-cap indices, but specifically small- and microcaps. A look at the SP400 (MDY, MidCap ETF), the Russell-2000 (RUT, SmallCaps) or the IWC (Russel MicroCap ETF) will confirm the same, with microcaps threatening
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When people think about the stock market, two things often come to mind. One, the gambler, betting on stocks like horses in a race or numbers in a casino. Or, Two, the rational investor, long-term oriented and passively investing, or selecting companies by crunching numbers & analyzing
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The Greek myth of Icarus is a classic – it is a cautionary tale reminding us that hubris, complacency, or unawareness of risk can bring down even the most popular high-flyers.Every bull market has a poster child, a cheerleader, a market seer – someone speaking
Life expectancy of trends
Not just living beings or material objects age with time - market trends grow old too.The stock market moves either up in the long-term (the primary up-trend) interspersed with shorter counter-trends (the secondary corrections), down
Dixon G. Watts’ Rules For The Fine Speculator
It has been my experience that the older a still available book on the markets is, the more timeless its lessons truly are - for they have stayed relevant through the ups and downs of
5 Ways Your Broker Is Making You Broke
The purpose of a business is to make money, plain and simple - and the stock brokerage industry is certainly no different. 'Conflict of interest' is the term that probably best describes the problem surrounding the
How To Maximize Profits: The Ever-Liquid Account
I've written previously about the legendary Gerald Loeb, stockbroker (an occupation I typically have my reservations about) but stock speculator foremost. If you want to learn how to put your money into the market and
Did Small-Caps rise from the dead?
The last few weeks have witnessed a hardly-precedented move in micro-, small- and mid-cap indices, but specifically small- and microcaps. A look at the SP400 (MDY, MidCap ETF), the Russell-2000 (RUT, SmallCaps) or the IWC
SMCI taps out
Wherever you encounter leadership in life, the behaviour of the leader will to a large degree shape the success and future of whatever undertaking they're leading - whether that's a family, a business, a project,
Why the US market has been crappy
Unless you've been living under a rock, or worse, are a 'long-term investor', you will know that opportunities in US equities have been bleak and the entire 2023 rally has been anemic in leadership. The 2020
The AI stock trading machine?
The recent boom around AI has led to a fully fledged change in market temperature, with mutual funds and retailers alike power-buying the large American tech stocks expected to benefit from AI - NVDA, AMD,
The paper under your mattress
Here comes the pain” has become the mantra over the last year for people holding onto their darling stocks. The NASDAQ Composite has corrected 37% from November to its recent Low, index heavy-weights and blue-chips
Wait … just wait.
The markets are down – and to me, everything looks for them to stay so for the foreseeable future, barring some inevitable end-of-year volatility - possibly a late relief rally and most likely some late-December
The fallacy of valuations
I met a guy at the beginning of the year, who said that his calculations and online “research” had shown that Palantir (PLTR) was undervalued at $16, and that he had bought a sizable chunk